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Mercado de manzanas | ProduccionSur.com
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Mercado de manzanas

12/12/2008 

Cuenta regresiva en Italia

En la Unión Europea, sin Polonia, la cosecha de manzanas es levemente inferior a la del  al año anterior. La lentitud en las ventas se traduce en mayores stocks. Polonia dice tener 700 mil toneladas en frío, lo que despierta no pocos nervios entre los operadores.
por Dino Battistuzzi
La confirmación de la previsión de menor cosecha de manzanas en Italia (ver nota relacionada), es acompañada por algunos datos críticos, entre ellos; el de stock al 1 de noviembre difundidos el pasado 2 de diciembre por la organización alemana ZMP
 
Tabla. Manzanas: Evolución de cosecha y stock en Italia
 En miles de toneladas, stock al 1° de noviembre
 
   2006
   2007
   2008
  var %
Cosecha
1991
2142
1992
-7,0
Stock
1338
1365
1442
5,7
Fuente: WAPA (cosecha) y ZMP (stock)
 
Si bien la cosecha es 7% menor al año anterior, el stock en frigoríficos es 5,7% más alto que la temporada pasada. De acuerdo a los empresarios consultados por FruticulturaSur.com, la diferencia es producto de  la reticencia a consumir manzanas. El mayor stock se debería a la lentitud de las ventas.
 
En Europa también preocupan los reportes que hablan de un elevado stock en Polonia, donde habría unas 700 mil toneladas en frío. Pero los mayores stocks se repiten en muchos países: por ejemplo en España, República Checa, Reino Unido, Dinamarca y Holanda. A estos datos se suma la incertidumbre por la oferta del Hemisferio Sur, la que se espera mayor a la de la temporada anterior.
 
Precios
 
Del análisis de los precios en las centrales frutihortícolas de Milán, Roma, Florencia y Boloña (ver Gráfica de Gabinete MAG) surge que los valores de venta de las manzanas son 15% superiores al año anterior (1,19 euros/kg en 2008, semanas 42 a 48, comparado con 1,03 euros del 2007 en igual periodo).
 
Esta situación podría responder a una política de precios reteniendo stock, antes que a una mayor demanda de consumo, lo que a su vez explicaría la lentitud de las ventas. En perspectiva, la solución de corto plazo podría provocar una crisis a mediano plazo. Es probable que cuando ingrese la oferta del Hemisferio, en algún momento los precios se ajusten a la baja en forma importante.
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